Golden Globe Winner Predictions 2012

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association hands out its Golden Globe Awards Sunday. Read on to see who could, should and will emerge victorious in all the show’s film categories.

By R. Kurt Osenlund
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Best Picture – Comedy/Musical

“Bridesmaids” has become a surprise heavyweight in awards season, amassing a growing wealth of nods from critics’ groups and guilds. It stands a better chance to win here than fellow contenders “50/50,” “Midnight in Paris,” and “My Week with Marilyn,” the latter of which many would argue isn’t even a comedy. But all will cower at the feet of “The Artist,” the runaway favorite to win not just at the Globes, but at the Oscars as well. The silent, black-and-white Hollywood valentine should prove as irresistible to the HFPA as it has to critics and audiences the world over. It can’t be beat.

Will win: “The Artist”
Could win: None
Should win: “The Artist”

Best Actor – Drama Best

Like “The Ides of March,” the film for which he’s nominated, Gosling sits at the bottom of his field of contenders, and one should think he’s mainly here for the stellar year he’s had. Leonardo DiCaprio played a mean “J. Edgar,” but his film hasn’t had nearly enough support for him to clinch a victory, and the same goes for Michael Fassbender, whose devastating work in “Shame” can’t trump the movie’s polarizing content. The duel is between pals George Clooney and Brad Pitt, whose respective turns in “The Descendants” and “Moneyball” also will have them squaring off for the Oscar. Clooney’s the frontrunner, but I’m thinking Pitt sneaks in for the win.

Will win: Pitt
Could win: Clooney
Should win: Fassbender

Actress – Drama

With the exception of Rooney Mara (“The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”), whose slot will be filled by Williams, this dramatic Best Actress lineup should repeat at The Academy Awards, as Glenn Close continues to soldier on as a knee-jerk candidate for “Albert Nobbs,” and Tilda Swinton has all but cemented herself in the top five with multiple noms for her work in “We Need to Talk About Kevin.” And no one’s bumping out Viola Davis (“The Help”) or Meryl Streep (“The Iron Lady”), the category’s two strongest nominees. Davis has heat, but this is Meryl’s year, and the HFPA, like everyone else, adores her.

Will win: Streep
Could win: Davis
Should win: Streep

Best Picture – Drama

Aside from the Producer’s Guild, the HFPA is about the only group to give Clooney’s cynical political thriller “The Ides of March” a fighting chance. The film is nominated here; however, it’s the least promising in a crop that also includes “War Horse,” “Moneyball,” “Hugo,” “The Help,” and Clooney’s other 2011 drama, “The Descendants.” Both “Hugo” and “War Horse” boast breathtaking spectacle, and “Moneyball” is a smart hit, but this race will come down to “The Help,” a crowd-pleasing box-office champ, and “The Descendants,” a humanistic family drama with heaps of critical kudos. Barring an upset, the latter should come out on top.

Will win: “The Descendants”
Could win: “The Help”
Should win: “The Descendants”

Other Category Predictions

Best Director: Martin Scorsese, “Hugo”

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